Four austerity parties, what is to be done?

tweedledumdeedumdum2The Election in May will be the first since 1929 when there will be no clear two party choice. While the rise of UKIP and the SNP affect the Labour Party in different ways, there is an underlying consensus in England and Wales, that the four main parties likely to get seats will be pro-austerity parties. For Labour being in this consensus has massive implications, especially in Scotland. The key issue is not any particular party or part of the UK but the policies dominating the Westminster and media bubble – the ‘austerity consensus’ and how to burst the bubble it inhabits. Continue reading

The Great Moving Left Show: making it happen

The Great Moving Left ShowThe Independent article showing that a substantial majority of electors oppose Osborne’s cuts programme contrasted with New Labour‘s failure to join the majority. Sixty six percent opposed Osborne’s plans for clearing the deficit by 2017-18 while only 30% supported them. However in the Westminster Bubble, austerity is unquestionable and the disjuncture with popular opinion is toxic. How this will play out in votes is unpredictable, but the decline of the old Two Party system marked. The rise of the SNP and UKIP make this a largely unpredictable election for both Labour and Conservative Parties. Continue reading

Whatever happened to the two party system?

5689489675_9272fa186e_bThe British political system is based on two parties electing the Prime Minister, who has to command a majority in the House of Commons. The ruling assumption was that there will be only two parties, an alternating government party and an opposition. There has never been much call for proportional representation and a multi party system, and coalitions have been rare. The current Lib-Dem/Tory coalition is unusual: there have been very few coalitions and the first past the post voting system is popular. Yet looking at election results shows that since the 1870s, three parties have been the rule, sometimes four, and currently more than four parties in the House of Commons.

Trying to make sense of the situation for media purposes, the TV companies recently tried to arrange political debates in the election of 2015 on the basis of four leaders, the three main Westminster parties plus UKIP, which has made an electoral breakthrough this year. However other parties at Westminster objected and the Greens threatened legal action if they were excluded, as did Respect and the nationalist parties. While the result of media negotiations remain to be concluded, one thing is now clear. The UK no longer has a two party system, which creates an unstable future. Continue reading

The Gove legacy undermines exams

school examsThere is a broad consensus on education policy across the main parties at Westminster, which has only cracked in two areas: (i) Labour is demanding qualified teacher status in state schools and it does so with solid parental support; (ii) less immediately controversial is a split over exam reform.

Despite cross party support for exam reform, the planned decoupling of the AS and A Level exam systems, has destabilised the consensus with Labour opposing the split. Michael Gove’s planned return to traditional end-of-course exams was intended to build support among academic traditionalists and the wider public but criticism has mounted. The GCSE pass rate has dropped from 59.2% to 52.6% focussing attention on the GCSE reforms – still supported by Labour, unlike the AS reforms. Continue reading