The latest economic figures revealing a shock fall in construction output of more than 1% between April and May this year are alarming, but might be brushed off as an isolated quirk if all the other evidence pointed the other way. But it doesn’t.
The construction slowdown is matched by an unexpected slump in factory output as well as a worrying widening of an already bloated trade deficit. The latter reflects the dampening effect on UK exports as the pound has steadily strengthened over the last year, reaching the highest level (£1=$1.70) for 5 years. UK export prospects are further deflated by the way the eurozone is mired in seemingly endless austerity because the major debtor countries – Greece, Portugal, Spain, Italy – cannot while locked inside the single currency achieve the growth necessary to cut their deficits when their debts are still rising.



