Polls: Obama would win a world vote, and might scrape home in the US too

A UPI/CVoter/Gallup poll of people in more than 30 countries shows U.S. President Barack Obama would win by 81% to 19% if they were allowed to vote in the U.S. election. The highest levels of support were in Iceland (98%), Netherlands, Portugal & Germany (97%), Ireland & Denmark (96%), and Switzerland, France and Finland (95%).

The only country showing majority support for Romney is Israel (65%), after which the highest support for Romney is in Pakistan (41%), Georgia (36%), Macedonia (30%), China (29%), Lebanon (26%), Iraq (20%) and India (19%). Continue reading

The end of the biggest military disaster since Vietnam

The final pull-out of US troops from Iraq marks the end, or perhaps just one stage of the end, of the biggest military disaster since Vietnam. Every US-UK goal behind the invasion has been lost, in some cases humiliatingly.

Iran, the target for revenge after the sacking of the US embassy in 1979, emerges as a regional superpower with its political establishment now in full control of Iraq. Continue reading

Iraq and the Arab Spring: a thought experiment

Very few things about the political state of Iraq can accurately be described as clear. But now that the flag has been cased and the last 4,000 US troops are on the way home, some sort of preliminary balance sheet is finally possible.

As president Obama told the troops at the military base in Fort Bragg this week, the country the US military leaves behind almost nine years after the invasion is ‘not a perfect place’. If reports of continuing sectarian violence are anything to go by, that is a considerable understatement. Continue reading