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Tower Hamlets: membership inquiry reveals no conspiracy

Lutfur Rahman, Tower Hamlets Mayor

Labour’s national executive yesterday received a report into “alleged membership abuse” into Tower Hamlets which contained nothing that could be regarded as evidence of a conspiracy by anyone. Complaints made against Lutfur Rahman, then the candidate chosen by Labour’s members as their candidate for Mayor, then debarred pending an investigation and subsequently elected as an independent candidate for Mayor, included allegations of membership abuse. However, the investigation produced no evidence of any wrong-doing by him and made clear that, if there were any irregularities,  they made no difference to the outcome.

The report reveals that, of the 1,217 members to be eligible to take part in the selection process, 149 had been found not to live at the address on the membership list. This finding was presented by complainants against Mr Rahman, allegedly on the basis of a canvass of less than half of the membership. However London borough migration figures reveal that, in Tower Hamlets, 9.5% of the population move out of the borough each year and a further 5.3% move within the borough. We should therefore expect 180 out of 1217 members who had paid their relevant subs on average a year previously to no longer live at the same address. No doubt this warranted further investigation, but it does not necessarily imply anything significantly wrong.

Out of those 149 members no longer living at the address on the membership list, the report claims there is “no evidence that 75 of them were ever registered as an elector at the address where they claimed their Labour Party membership at the time of the selection.” According to the Electoral Commission, about 18% of those eligible to vote in inner London are not registered, often because they have relatively recently moved in or live with their parents. Tenants of private landlords are less likely to be registered, students may be registered elsewhere, some members may not be eligible to vote. Labour Party members may be expected to be more likely to register than those uninterested in politics, but people who are more transitory (as these members appear to be) are less likely than others.

However, that whole matter is of little relevance since only 12 of these people actually voted in the selection which Lutfur Rahman won the selection by 25 votes over both other candidates in the final round, 182 over his nearest rival.  It was acknowledged at the national executive that, even if there were irregularities, they could have made no difference to the outcome, a view that had also ben shared by the NEC disputes panel.

The report, which was poorly written and failed to adequately explain what had happened, nevertheless sought, without any supporting evidence, to conclude:

It is membership abuse to claim to be a member at any address where you do not live. The number of cases strongly suggest that this would not have come about through accident or through individuals acting alone to abuse the system. The evidence outlined above is sufficient to suggest a concentred effort to add people to the membership list in Tower Hamlets was being undertaken by one or more individuals.

This conclusion was not agreed by the executive which called for a further more comprehensive report, and for an investigation into other aspects of the complaints made against Lutfur Rahman, as had been promised previously. Whilst the report fails to provide any firm evidence of widespread  membership abuse, some irregularities cannot be ruled out. However, no evidence of any conspiracy by any candidate for the mayoral selection has been found.

It is clearly a “membership abuse” to misrepresent one’s address in order to be a member where one doesn’t live. It is surely not necessarily wrong for people to delay transferring their membership for a little while after moving.

9 Comments

  1. [...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Fokrul Hoque-Misfah, Daniel Blaney, Mehdi Hasan, Ben Folley, Simon Hewitt and others. Simon Hewitt said: RT @danielblaney: RT @leftfutures New post: Tower Hamlets: membership inquiry reveals no conspiracy http://bit.ly/igeo3u [...]

  2. Stephen says:

    No conspiracy, few “bogus” members actually voted and didn’t make a difference to the selection result. Bogus members were the major point in the dodgy dossier. I look forward to hearing what the NEC decides in due course – any idea when the matter goes back to the NEC?

    1. Jon Lansman says:

      Stephen: The NEC has asked for a proper report at its next meeting.

  3. Gary Elsby says:

    So who debarred him and was any legal threat enough to reinstate him?
    Is this the work of the corrupt Organisational Sub Committee who wrecked Stoke-on-Trent?

    I’ll be watching tonight on BBC2 at 9pm for further details on Labour’s working class credentials of fair play.

  4. JF says:

    Your conclusions seem totally at odds with the actual conclusion of the report which states:

    “The number of cases strongly suggest that this would not have come about through accident or through individuals acting alone to abuse the system. The evidence outlined above is sufficient to suggest a concerted effort to add people to the membership list in Tower Hamlets was being undertaken by one or more individuals.”

    Are you “spinning” are you downright trying to subvert the truth?

    1. Jon Lansman says:

      That is because there is absolutely nothing in the report to support its stated conclusion which I quote. The NEC did not agree the reports conclusion. There are clearly some party officials who feel the need to defend their actions!

  5. Charli Langford says:

    JF – Jon has made the point that the NEC have *rejected* the conclusion you quote. He didn’t comment on what to me is the key fact. Like pretty much everyone here I’ve not seen the report and have only Jon’s quote to go on, but the hard evidence that does exist – the statistics on how many people move on in a period of time – suggest that the number that the report found to be not at the recorded address is actually 15% *less* than you would expect. If there is any truth-subversion, it’s not coming from Jon.

  6. [...] Rahman in the next ‘real’ election.  Rahman has since been cleared by Labour of membership irregularities and (he and his group of councillors) by the Metropolitan Police on 151 counts of electoral fraud [...]

  7. [...] then overturned the result on the basis of allegations of vote-rigging (later revealed to be without substance), and imposed one of Lutfur’s defeated rivals in his place. In a move that had obvious [...]

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