Can Jeremy Corbyn Win?

by James Elliott

JeremyCorbyn1From the moment he got on the ballot paper, Jeremy Corbyn was swiftly pigeonholed as ‘the Left candidate’ incapable of attracting the broad support necessary to win the Party leadership. In an act of remarkable short-sightedness all the other major contenders from Kendall to Burnham have acted as if we still inhabit a pre-Collins party, and their approach has been similar to their diagnosis of Labour’s defeat in May: triangulate enough to win over the nebulous and non-existent ‘Middle England’ and victory is assured.

On the face of this, Corbyn’s victory would seem implausible. Those of us supporting Jeremy are asking a Labour Party where David Miliband, the continuity Blairite candidate in 2010, won the membership vote and Diane Abbott of the Socialist Campaign Group came a very firm last, to now vote in one of its most leftwing MPs to become leader after a General Election many (wrongly) perceive the party as losing because we shifted too far to the left. Continue reading →

Labour must not lose its soul to pragmatism

by Guest

15024926027_384702cb70_zThis week I felt an immense wave of joy and solidarity with our American comrades and the judgment they have just been handed by the US Supreme Court to recognise all marriages as having equal value. It is a beautiful and poignant moment for so many reasons but the one that sticks out for me is the recognition of such a long, hard fought fight. A fight fought and won on the streets and in the courts. And as Obama speaks the line that shifts of hearts and minds is possible I am reminded of the power of people and civil society.

Last weekend we saw, in the UK, our own fight in the streets. A quarter of a million people came to London to march against austerity; to call out the UK Government and say to them loudly and clearly: you might have ‘won’ an election, but your legitimacy can and will be questioned; we will not let you destroy our country and the people in it.

Continue reading →

Pre-budget memo to Osborne: records show austerity won’t cut deficit

by Michael Meacher

Austerity is failingOsborne’s 8 July budget will be forced through in the teeth of all economic experience. The history of the last 70 years demonstrates one conclusion irrefutably: austerity is the wrong way to cut deficits. After the second world war had dramatically drained Britain’s wealth and left the country with colossal debts amounting to 260% of GDP, these huge deficits were easily tamed by fast economic growth in the post-war years.

President Clinton achieved a similar turnaround in the US after he inherited an enormous deficit in 1992 and ended his 8-year presidency with none, largely due to rapid economic growth. Again, the Swedish high budget deficit was successfully brought down during 1994-8 by a policy of fairly fast economic growth. Even in the US in recent years, despite the political deadlock and a largely non-functional Congress, the US has achieved a far bigger and faster recovery from recession than Europe, again as a result of the priority given to growth by Obama. Continue reading →

Wages, profits & investment In Greece

by Michael Burke

Greek Crisis, based on photo by Dave HoggThe IMF has placed a road-block in the way of a deal with the Greek government and it remains unclear whether any agreement can be reached. The prior agreement which the IMF rejected was itself already very onerous. But the IMF wants to shift the burden of paying for the crisis away from taxes on business and the better-paid towards more cuts in social protection. This is an insupportable burden as net median household incomes are already below €8,000 a year. Many multi-member households without work subsist solely on state and public sector pensions. Continue reading →

Why I went on the anti-austerity march & regret Labour’s leaders weren’t there too

by Diane Abbott

Austerity demoLast weekend I attended the huge anti-austerity march and rally organised by the People’s Assembly against Austerity in London. Estimates of the size of the rally varied between 70,000 and more than 150,000. But demonstrators poured into London from all over the country, the march was self-evidently huge and it was definitely a great deal bigger than last year’s event. Several thousand more protestors gathered in Glasgow’s George Square and there were other smaller demonstrations in cities like Liverpool and Bristol.

I was there in London speaking at the beginning of the march and walked the whole route. It was an exhilarating event, purposeful but disciplined. I left it much more hopeful about the future than i have been since the General Election. And I was definitely proud to be there. Continue reading →

Tories’ pre-election fantasising comes back to haunt them

by Michael Meacher

Osborne Liar LiarNorthern powerhouse deflates into Northern power-cut. It was so hurriedly propagated by Osborne before the election as portraying the government as dynamic innovators of English devolution, but none of the details had been properly worked through, including the required transport infrastructure as we now know. So the election gimmick, if not evaporated, has dimmed at least to the long haul. Just 7 weeks after the election when the Tories boasted of the biggest investment in the railways since Victorian times, the grand 5-year £38.5bn plan has collapsed, with the government trying to dump the blame on Network Rail. The Tories are all the more culpable since they still vaunted their grandiose plans in their election manifesto though Network Rail admitted “very early on last year” that the 5-year plan would be ‘incredibly difficult to deliver’. Continue reading →

The Labour leadership candidates should turn to Barbara Castle

by Calum Sherwood

BarbaraCastle1As the Labour leadership election picks up pace, and some of the dividing lines between the candidates are beginning to emerge, I feel that it is becoming increasingly necessary for the some of the so-called frontrunners to revisit the career of Barbara Castle.

One of the most esteemed figures from Labour’s history, Castle proved that power is not incompatible with principle and providing a real opposition to Tory policy. Her politics in government and opposition always drew the red line of championing the cause of ordinary people. What would she have made of some of the triangulations over fundamentals, like welfare and immigration, on display today? I imagine she would have had stern words for those entertaining the idea of supporting a welfare cap or playing dog-whistle politics about “factories where no one speaks English”. Continue reading →

Why Martin Kettle’s one dimensional analysis does the Tories’ work for them

by Bryan Gould

Labour Leadership Candidates and now they are 4_edited-1Martin Kettle, in today’s Guardian, joins the ranks of those no doubt well-intentioned observers whose advice to the Labour party, as it chooses a new leader, seems to be based on a curiously limited and one-dimensional view of the political landscape.

In this view, there are only two possible directions of travel and therefore just one issue to be resolved. The Labour party, in this tightly constrained, imagined environment, must choose to go either forwards or backwards (or, perhaps, to use slightly different terminology to describe the same choice) rightwards or leftwards.  Continue reading →

Key Labour targets: raise support from over 65s, raise turnout of under 35s

by Peter Rowlands

ipsos.logoIpsos Mori have now published their findings on the recent election. However, it is I think worth highlighting some of these as they are of crucial importance in any consideration of Labour’s future electoral strategy. The information is broken down by gender, age, social class, housing tenure and ethnic group, by gender for age and social class, by turnout for all and by changes since 2010. The key facts are:

  • Labour only has a clear lead among those aged 18 – 34, the D/E social groups, BAME voters and renters.
  • UKIP increased its vote among all groups, but is strongest among older, white and working class voters.
  • Female voters are more likely to vote Labour and less likely to vote UKIP, but older women have become more Conservative.
  • The huge fall in the Lib-Dem vote included transfers to Labour (24%), Conservative (20%), Green (11%) and UKIP (7%).
  • Labour retained only 72% of its 2010 vote, losing to the Conservatives (8%), UKIP (6%), and by 5% to the SNP, Greens and Lib-Dems each.
  • The Conservatives retained 82% of their 2010 vote losing 13% to UKIP.

Continue reading →

The politics of Tory pledge-breaking

by Phil Burton-Cartledge

Tory-manifesto-coverPolitical gravity is starting to assert itself on the Tories’ ridiculous manifesto. You will recall that this gang of scaremongerers, who spent the entire election trading on economic competence, getting the deficit and public sector debt down, and “strong leadership” promised £28bn in unfunded spending commitments – presumably with the view that they’d never get chance to implement them because coalition negotiations, etc. There’s a lesson there: one should avoid tempting fate. You may also recall the fright UKIP gave the Tories all throughout the last parliament, the one that gave CCHQ willies enough to make a rash in/out referendum pledge on European Union membership. It’s been fewer than 50 days since the general election, so let’s take a look at how our overlords are doing. Continue reading →

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